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Luo Zhiheng, Yuekai Securities: It is expected that the monetary policy will be further strengthened in 2025, or the RRR will be lowered or the interest rate will be reduced by 0.5 percentage points respectively. The Central Economic Work Conference will be held in Beijing from December 11 to 12. Luo Zhiheng, chief economist and dean of the research institute of Yuekai Securities, believes that overall, the tone of the meeting is more positive, and positive signals are released in terms of work objectives, policy tone and task deployment next year, which is conducive to strengthening and consolidating the momentum of sustained economic recovery next year. It is still a high probability that China's economy will achieve a growth rate of around 5% next year, as long as we implement greater fiscal and monetary policies, ensure that the policies work in the same direction, and promote a series of institutional reforms that restrict development. Luo Zhiheng predicts that in 2025, the monetary policy will be further strengthened, and the RRR and interest rate will be lowered by 0.5 percentage points respectively throughout the year; Rhythm or more advanced. In addition, the monetary policy toolbox will be further enriched and improved. On the one hand, it will adjust and optimize the policy tools such as refinancing of affordable housing, "convenient exchange of securities, funds and insurance companies" and stock repurchase and refinancing, which will be implemented and achieved practical results; On the other hand, we may appropriately narrow the width of the interest rate corridor and guide the money market interest rate to run smoothly around the policy interest rate center.About 300 people have been killed in the attack on civilians by Haitian gangs. On December 12, local time, it was learned that the attack on civilians by Haitian gangs continued. As of December 11, the number of victims has reached nearly 300, and nearly 60 people have been kidnapped. (CCTV News)EDI SUSIANTO, Executive Director of the Bank of Indonesia: The decline of the Indonesian rupiah was affected by global sentiment and the rise of the US dollar.

Turkish regulators blocked access to dozens of cryptocurrency exchanges, and the Turkish Capital Markets Board listed websites that allegedly provided unauthorized cryptoasset services to Turkish customers.On the analysis of the daily limit at noon on December 13, the three major indexes fell by more than 1% in half a day, and the AI application side strengthened against the trend. Rishang group has 12 boards in 13 days, and one picture can be understood > >According to sources, Trump will meet with the widow of former Japanese Prime Minister Shinzo Abe on Sunday.

The list of members of the Sixth Executive Council of the Macao Special Administrative Region was announced. According to the relevant provisions of the Basic Law of the Macao Special Administrative Region, the sixth Chief Executive of the Macao Special Administrative Region has completed the preparatory work for the members of the Sixth Executive Council of the Macao Special Administrative Region. Eleven people have accepted the invitation to serve as members of the Executive Council: Zhang Yongchun, Ou Anli, Chen Zewu, Ma Zhiyi, Chen Jialiang, Ye Zhaojia, Liu Yiliang, Liang Weifeng, Song Biqi, Tang Jizong and Yu Chengbin. The relevant executive order will be announced on December 20, and 11 members of the Executive Council will be sworn in on the same day. The Executive Council is an organization that assists the Chief Executive in making decisions. The sixth Chief Executive, Cen Haohui, is convinced that all the appointed members can support and implement the Basic Law of the Macao Special Administrative Region of the People's Republic of China, be loyal to the People's Republic of China (PRC) Special Administrative Region, be devoted to their duties, be honest and perform their duties, safeguard national sovereignty, security and development interests, accurately implement the principle of "one country, two systems" and ensure the stability and far-reaching implementation of "one country, two systems" in Macao.According to CITIC Securities, it is necessary for deficit ratio to rise to nearly 4%, and mortgage interest rates is expected to fall further. According to Yicai, the Central Economic Work Conference was held in Beijing on December 11th and 12th. Regarding what it means to change the tone of fiscal policy from "positive" to "more positive", the chief economist of CITIC Securities clearly said that I think it means that the whole fiscal policy will be further expanded next year. First of all, from the perspective of deficit ratio, our deficit ratio is 3% this year and 3% at the beginning of last year. However, we had a special budget adjustment at the end of last year, so the deficit ratio from the end of last year to the end of last year was actually 3.8%. Looking forward to next year, we think that the ratio that may be close to 4% should be the effect that everyone expects to achieve at present. In terms of monetary policy, we can see a series of monetary policies, including further relaxing some restrictions on purchase restriction and loan restriction, including the down payment ratio, and a particularly important one is to reduce the mortgage interest rates. I think these monetary policies will be further promoted in the future, and even further declined in mortgage interest rates, for example.At the close of early trading, the main contracts of domestic futures fell more and rose less. The European line of container transportation rose by over 5%, while alumina, SC crude oil and Shanghai nickel rose by over 1%. In terms of decline, coke, No.20 glue and caustic soda fell by more than 2%, while glass, coking coal, Shanghai Bank, hot coil, rubber and BR rubber fell by more than 1%.